TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34d5…e0c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
945
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT42852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 428 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,692Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$1,837.9
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$2,294.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,606.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,840.99
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$1,849.09
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,908Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$1,502.6
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,711.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,936Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$1,375.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400.53
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,605Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+264.6%+$4,246.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+259.9%+$2,635.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,691.18
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$612.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$570
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69%+$132.04
LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$345.89
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.26
LoL Cross Regional: DNS vs FLYbacked FLY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$389.18
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.49
Showing 25 of 428 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT36555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 365 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,349.96
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$2,374.38
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,986.63
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,631Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$2,697.39
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$2,067.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.78
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,696Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,785.65
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$1,289.94
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,579.39
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$860.85
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$1,306.12
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$755
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$898.62
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.81
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.23
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$1,072.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$429.46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+50%+$274.93
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+305.6%+$2,046.05
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$357.23
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$463.46
Showing 25 of 365 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT6048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.9%+$7.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$61.55
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$329
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+54.1%+$158
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+87%+$228.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147.2
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.1%+$70.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$30
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$192
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$95
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$118.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$101.48
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$59.69
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.16
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$53.1
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$135
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$76
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$267.93
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.69
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$221.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37.9%+$55
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Will Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.2%+$19.92
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+123.4%+$41.43
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$73.76
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.98
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+76.2%+$25.94
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$101.6
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.5%+$29.85
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.4%+$7.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+302.7%+$138.31
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$97.04
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61%+$58.75
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+86.7%+$41.8
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+54.1%+$46.72
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+87.3%+$30.3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+55%+$17.75
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+74.4%+$128
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+50.4%+$67
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.7%+$118.94
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.63
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$72.75
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$56.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.52
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.22
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$138.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$46.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.