TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$402,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$458,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No9c129,434$12,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,077.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Yes43c11,799$5,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.432231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No57c9,000$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,13046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c8,321$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.181,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes43c6,999$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.5810737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No9c5,890$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.3816737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c5,861$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.891305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1425backed Yes68c5,129$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No58c4,997$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.2724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c4,708$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.051,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No1c4,189$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No59c3,658$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.221,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No4c3,565$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.241,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No8c3,438$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No10c2,694$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.361764.7%11 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No57c2,601$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.5121853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Yes41c2,530$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18010050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No58c2,000$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.3339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4abe…63c0backed Yes71c1,978$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25fb…e92abacked Yes43c1,817$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedc…ec9ebacked Yes43c1,802$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd76d…003cbacked Yes43c1,704$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No32c1,691$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes42c1,667$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.6724047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df4…1989backed Yes43c1,651$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c0…4af8backed No57c1,545$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab3…c92dbacked Yes43c1,523$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1c…f383backed Yes43c1,501$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes69c1,484$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.166956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b3…84bdbacked Yes43c1,430$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64f…0be7backed No57c1,391$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x818c…abd5backed Yes43c1,367$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d8…48b6backed No57c1,349$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb67…2e7cbacked Yes43c1,313$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7392…68abbacked No57c1,272$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee04…0e21backed No57c1,223$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.814943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7010…5520backed Yes43c1,162$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes43c1,099$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.836241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x455d…e5d1backed Yes43c1,077$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No59c1,062$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.5810956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5332…5294backed No57c1,019$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5706833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5706046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5809739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e0…292ebacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5707844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea66…68ffbacked No57c999.92$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes42c994.1$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.588343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes42c833.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.337241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4647147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No9c796.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.681,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x590c…039fbacked Yes43c781$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No2c749.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9611712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c742.89$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.512,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No5c742.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4742658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a6…cab1backed Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.291250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes42c700$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4065339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6714544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1429…83a8backed Yes43c685$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7b…7ad0backed No57c683$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…713cbacked Yes43c668.03$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da8…e9e2backed No3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes41c632.25$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.035052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfbc…0680backed Yes43c632$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No58c563.98$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f23…f3fbbacked No57c556$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No59c550.85$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbb…e5cabacked No57c533$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No32c524.22$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7517748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No3c515.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4610433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ca…2c2abacked Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2905154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29517833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2270…bedabacked No57c485$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.194938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c468.55$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.441,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes43c466.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1213944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.122055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes41c409.82$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7910455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No58c399.97$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9816453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440d…e25fbacked Yes43c394$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No57c388.77$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.421,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes42c388.1$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.114138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked No5c376.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.634339.5%17 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes43c372.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.263636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c5…ae6cbacked Yes43c365$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes42c358$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.642646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x451b…57d8backed No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes42c313.15$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.158237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes42c305.69$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.769246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes43c305.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.144548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c304.42$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.561,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.