TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2fb…1425

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST3450%17 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$611.11
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+376.2%+$2,846.56
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,318.79
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+153.8%+$768.78
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.3%+$469.52
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$168.01
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$35.32
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+203.1%+$3,428.61
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,036.11
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+141%+$1,409.79
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+235%+$786.39
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$412.65
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+141.4%+$56.56
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$312
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+97.9%+$1,248.12
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+120.1%+$309.95
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$608
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$937.86
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,711
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+71.1%+$640.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$587.3
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$245.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$891.97
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$195.56
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$494.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+138%+$910.5
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.5%+$784.89
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$661.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.2%+$7.8
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Kukuys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$930.22
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$648.61
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+67.6%+$376.71
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+57.9%+$194.25
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$251.48
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$418
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+107.8%+$759.08
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+205.5%+$616.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$76.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,578.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.