TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,860 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid71c24,427$17,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,127.0354556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Vici Gaming30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Vici Gaming29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90013020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Vici Gaming37c8,967$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.7214840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming37c8,628$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18653451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Liquid63c4,453$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.2211854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid62c3,048$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.842,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming27c2,993$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.0389440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96f…b5e5backed Vici Gaming31c2,952$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.414341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid66c2,508$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.7420159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1425backed Vici Gaming25c2,023$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Liquid60c1,850$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.236043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid71c1,687$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8320156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid74c1,651$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.058957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid69c1,626$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2562650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid64c1,527$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.631,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming22c1,486$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming17c1,125$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.811,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid72c1,099$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.648060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Vici Gaming14c1,033$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14615946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked Team Liquid75c1,028$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.76150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Vici Gaming11c999.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Vici Gaming7c950$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6316821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming28c852.28$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6456542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Vici Gaming31c699.16$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.749045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming9c622$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5965625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Vici Gaming11c599.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.213732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming19c505.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.22,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa206…d166backed Team Liquid67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid77c462.15$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3510759.8%64 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Vici Gaming22c411.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.335648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13258744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Vici Gaming31c355.86$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8155751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Vici Gaming31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Vici Gaming34c321.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.418726.4%23 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Team Liquid67c320$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.611841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Vici Gaming33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9988166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc03e…da65backed Team Liquid68c292.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.036650%33 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid67c290$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.723050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vici Gaming26c255.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.561,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid79c253.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4255457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid78c203.33$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Vici Gaming25c179.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7917149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30e…4ca5backed Vici Gaming19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6c…30c5backed Team Liquid67c137.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.413066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming31c135.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.721,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Vici Gaming22c123.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4746649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Vici Gaming36c112.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4086451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ff…82cfbacked Team Liquid67c111.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid71c110.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1746664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.373743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid77c104.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2591553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54cf…e36dbacked Vici Gaming29c104$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid80c103.52$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.862,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Vici Gaming27c87.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8340745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid71c78.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6374549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Vici Gaming19c77.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca9…6d41backed Vici Gaming30c72.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Team Liquid70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.437642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Team Liquid72c69.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8213752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Team Liquid79c66.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Team Liquid71c65.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.115756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Vici Gaming20c65.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.933033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Vici Gaming29c64.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.391,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Vici Gaming34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid71c52.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5346872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Vici Gaming31c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Liquid70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.537851.1%193 W · 185 L-1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe866…1a70backed Team Liquid65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411057.3%63 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.467853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Liquid79c39.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0857654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf4d…58c2backed Team Liquid76c37.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Vici Gaming32c31.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017337.6%65 W · 108 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced2…b74dbacked Vici Gaming32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd0…c365backed Team Liquid77c31.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7f…6d97backed Team Liquid65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Team Liquid70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917647.2%83 W · 93 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Team Liquid68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Team Liquid67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3954648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…551ebacked Team Liquid71c19.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Team Liquid68c16.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Liquid74c15.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.922456.3%126 W · 98 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed Team Liquid80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.58063.8%51 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.