TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb6c…30c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$64.24
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$69
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.19
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$101.79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$177.38
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.87
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$136.3
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$175.41
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+77%+$57.16
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.18
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$45.41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$30.06
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+48.4%+$138.06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$4,851.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+43.1%+$939.57
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+62.8%+$135.25
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$69.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+64.9%+$292.42
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$101.82
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$185
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$105
Chiefs vs. Ravensbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$191.1
Chiefs vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+614.3%+$108.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+217.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+217.5%+$548.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$99.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.2%+$40.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$431.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.