TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Team Yandex, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports58c28,447$16,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,949.1712256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex43c7,216$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07553451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Team Yandex41c6,601$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Yandex40c6,500$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.54746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Tundra Esports58c4,550$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.995558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports76c4,316$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.4418075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports47c3,954$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.062,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex39c3,836$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.9327645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports55c3,607$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.8716149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports61c3,600$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40453652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex42c3,475$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.4489749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Tundra Esports63c3,166$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.035253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Tundra Esports63c3,033$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.866261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex36c2,628$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.7621847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex37c2,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Team Yandex43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex38c2,265$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.0785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked Team Yandex2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-64.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex33c1,852$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.9562841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports50c1,697$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.7534146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex35c1,590$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9912147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex37c1,504$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.3139936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports63c1,500$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6312868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Tundra Esports68c1,476$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Team Yandex43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex40c1,170$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9325444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb055…c95abacked Team Yandex59c1,151$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Team Yandex44c1,118$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49626958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Team Yandex30c1,044$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex36c1,002$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.5773841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex64c1,000$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.9159250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex47c999.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9910941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Yandex35c999.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.998046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex39c976.01$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38360552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Tundra Esports48c963.73$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8610338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Team Yandex55c912.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex38c790.88$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Tundra Esports36c708.88$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.681764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Tundra Esports49c708.47$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.755750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Team Yandex36c694.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.997549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2a…c739backed Team Yandex42c643.24$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed Team Yandex60c625.51$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.516963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Yandex37c624.42$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4936442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex13c620$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.21,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex36c616.53$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.923546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports64c600$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21513027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Team Yandex29c521$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.512050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2842…e81bbacked Tundra Esports39c509.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.32040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Tundra Esports60c405.75$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Yandex52c404.42$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Team Yandex26c386.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.927548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Tundra Esports54c375.89$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.666460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Team Yandex43c363$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0911452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…8184backed Team Yandex43c333.19$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Tundra Esports61c298.8$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5433265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Tundra Esports59c280$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex38c271.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6329245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex55c270.64$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4931545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Team Yandex4c268.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0310340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Tundra Esports60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3050…da3ebacked Team Yandex48c247.07$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.792343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Team Yandex42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…ff10backed Tundra Esports63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x669f…3464backed Team Yandex43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Tundra Esports76c222.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.018066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Team Yandex45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Tundra Esports64c209.94$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.583357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5794backed Team Yandex43c202.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Team Yandex46c201$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.454052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Team Yandex50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9813262.9%83 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1866…1325backed Team Yandex43c188.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Team Yandex14c164.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.653240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Tundra Esports65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Yandex40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9098…c796backed Team Yandex40c148.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.872050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Team Yandex25c146.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Team Yandex38c144.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.581070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6334…ddf4backed Team Yandex8c141.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18fe…a4a0backed Tundra Esports76c131.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.626450%32 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ee…dc4ebacked Team Yandex17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Tundra Esports63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47f…41f9backed Team Yandex53c124.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a1…52e5backed Team Yandex45c118.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.482334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3b6…1765backed Tundra Esports64c116.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.859244.6%41 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Team Yandex49c111.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.515060%30 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Yandex23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Team Yandex16c107.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.392142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02e4…f0aebacked Tundra Esports62c105.47$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.072070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b7…b4dcbacked Tundra Esports48c103.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.242544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb6c…30c5backed Tundra Esports40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Tundra Esports52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Tundra Esports48c99.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.616053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Tundra Esports60c99.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.297159.2%42 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Yandex41c92.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8234063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked Tundra Esports59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.74037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…b8a0backed Team Yandex36c83.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Team Yandex45c81.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.