TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Team Yandex, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Team Yandex29c28,547$8,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,234.722133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Yandex24c15,278$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.798046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports71c14,135$10,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.1620159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Tundra Esports72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8002483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Tundra Esports70c8,521$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex19c7,846$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.591,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Team Yandex25c7,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Yandex29c6,899$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.7514840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Team Yandex30c5,522$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.66854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports72c4,607$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.9511557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports72c4,141$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.3613027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex23c4,034$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.352,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Tundra Esports77c3,893$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Tundra Esports76c3,737$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.783036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Yandex23c3,255$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.3410338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Team Yandex23c3,088$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports72c3,053$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.7829160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex17c3,025$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.8739936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Team Yandex7c2,936$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.310340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Tundra Esports71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.98245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Tundra Esports71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.93557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tundra Esports69c2,763$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.7819148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex9c2,271$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0361449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Team Yandex8c2,230$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5214244.4%63 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d7…1c0bbacked Tundra Esports69c2,201$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.41955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex20c2,127$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6934146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Tundra Esports77c2,022$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.915044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Tundra Esports75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Tundra Esports70c1,983$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.958950.6%45 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex29c1,746$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.1114251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Tundra Esports71c1,645$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9317146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Team Yandex29c1,440$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex20c1,425$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0862841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Team Yandex27c1,332$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.63633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Team Yandex25c1,317$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3292254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex28c1,289$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.6825444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Yandex14c1,230$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9913456%75 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Team Yandex27c1,193$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.074436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex19c1,000$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8810941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28013262.9%83 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Yandex6c999.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9910745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Yandex28c899.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Team Yandex30c887$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.13354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Tundra Esports70c861.62$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex27c839.26$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1129245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Team Yandex38c838.28$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.066334.9%22 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Team Yandex25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002650%13 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Yandex21c799.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Team Yandex5c766.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.031030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…e8a8backed Tundra Esports78c766.55$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.55757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e7…4152backed Team Yandex9c766.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.572532%8 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2911551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Tundra Esports73c710.33$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.333655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.234678.3%36 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex23c696.87$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4822033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports72c696.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4747660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex24c689.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.480742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex26c668.61$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f6…217cbacked Team Yandex30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Tundra Esports74c571.17$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd55…fc45backed Tundra Esports70c570.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b7…f46dbacked Team Yandex30c554.19$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62a…742cbacked Tundra Esports69c552.67$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb0…b502backed Team Yandex28c551$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.28650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex9c550$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…83ccbacked Tundra Esports73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Team Yandex15c536.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804035%14 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex25c519.46$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4237832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex14c512.01$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83b…8459backed Team Yandex2c506.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…a538backed Team Yandex2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa55e…c136backed Tundra Esports71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x408a…6b19backed Tundra Esports72c495.4$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.711275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Tundra Esports71c490.74$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.397460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Tundra Esports69c478.26$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.264369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Yandex27c437.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1746451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Tundra Esports70c430.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.641963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5134…90f6backed Team Yandex33c424.7$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…8193backed Tundra Esports71c420.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.371050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex24c417.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82b…5211backed Team Yandex18c412.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports74c403.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.146175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c04…3fdbbacked Tundra Esports70c399.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Tundra Esports78c386.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7315151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed Team Yandex17c384.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1820535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Team Yandex25c371.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.468560%51 W · 34 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33da…f818backed Tundra Esports72c370.85$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.545655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Yandex27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10518075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports71c339.66$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6664744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Tundra Esports61c335.29$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.763860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Tundra Esports69c327.28$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.187345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex19c324.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Team Yandex12c320.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Tundra Esports71c311.27$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2741248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked Tundra Esports73c301.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.372770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8115653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc393…66f9backed Tundra Esports72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.