TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Team Yandex, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex38c26,230$9,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,947.4653451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports62c21,375$13,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,176.9212256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Yandex39c19,336$7,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,549.345558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex19c12,534$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.373841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex6c9,721$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Tundra Esports64c6,777$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.6412256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex7c6,095$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.4412147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Tundra Esports60c5,500$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20027645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports65c4,614$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.5312459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Tundra Esports60c4,265$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.0710451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports62c4,138$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.9153652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb055…c95abacked Team Yandex3c3,898$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports76c3,404$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.0134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports76c2,921$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.752,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02e4…f0aebacked Tundra Esports69c2,619$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.622070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Tundra Esports65c2,611$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.118330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex33c2,550$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.6162841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex34c2,413$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.9285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Team Yandex35c2,143$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Tundra Esports62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7606261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74021847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56012868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57039936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed Team Yandex40c1,309$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3050…da3ebacked Team Yandex26c1,271$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.052343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Team Yandex21c1,254$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.232646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Team Yandex40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Tundra Esports68c1,235$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.29875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports76c1,106$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0335370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex40c1,035$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b56…181dbacked Team Yandex1c1,014$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd631…1b97backed Team Yandex16c954.29$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Tundra Esports72c824.9$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.925100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Team Yandex32c773.64$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247150%0 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed Team Yandex39c769.94$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports63c736.64$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0380443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports65c641.21$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8913027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Tundra Esports76c619.79$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0210338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Team Yandex39c588.33$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Team Yandex25c575.51$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.845949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex20c549.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11023546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex40c509.05$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports63c477$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4931545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Yandex30c457.94$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0836442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Tundra Esports60c331.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.032944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…8193backed Tundra Esports63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex22c305.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2122033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Team Yandex34c261.11$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex22c259.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.091,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex39c256.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9167853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5794backed Team Yandex33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…b8a0backed Tundra Esports69c222.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.912934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex23c219.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Tundra Esports68c205.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.611030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6c…30c5backed Tundra Esports69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6334…ddf4backed Team Yandex12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Team Yandex20c189.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.051428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Team Yandex20c189.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.053145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Tundra Esports58c188.48$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.161478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Team Yandex12c182.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8914446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Team Yandex37c182$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.346334.9%22 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4da3…1ca0backed Team Yandex26c174.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b6…1765backed Tundra Esports61c170.36$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.449244.6%41 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Team Yandex23c160$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.211943.7%52 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Tundra Esports70c159.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex23c148.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Team Yandex13c142.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.542142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9098…c796backed Team Yandex40c117.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.942050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e0…330bbacked Tundra Esports63c111.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Team Yandex28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713262.9%83 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Team Yandex15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…dc4ebacked Team Yandex25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c04…3fdbbacked Tundra Esports62c99.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Tundra Esports61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3626741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Tundra Esports62c96.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.066145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7f…91ebbacked Team Yandex21c95.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Yandex42c95.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Tundra Esports76c93.91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9914254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Team Yandex35c89.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team Yandex40c88.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc60c…3bf9backed Tundra Esports63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Tundra Esports64c74.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9672637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…0c6ebacked Tundra Esports64c73.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Tundra Esports64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Tundra Esports64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Tundra Esports61c68.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6921851.8%113 W · 105 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Tundra Esports60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.673852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x158f…09f1backed Team Yandex38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Team Yandex20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdff…265ebacked Team Yandex39c50.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked Team Yandex34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.96454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Tundra Esports63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.624940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x355c…81c5backed Tundra Esports74c47.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.088448.8%41 W · 43 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd47f…41f9backed Team Yandex33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked Team Yandex36c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423640.7%96 W · 140 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Team Yandex38c35.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3233743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Team Yandex36c34.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team Yandex37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.