TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a7f…91eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$7.97
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.71
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65.13
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+89%+$63.51
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.9%+$66.28
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+138%+$47.79
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+218.9%+$201.1
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.07
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.73
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.56
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$52.12
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+39.5%+$7.21
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43.87
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.98
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.2%+$109.98
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$74.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37.7%+$22.73
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.7%+$46.59
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+134.7%+$73.05
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+39.4%+$9.47
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$78.08
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.7%+$17.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$178.66
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+93.3%+$23.15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$102.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.9%+$13.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30.31
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.18
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.07
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+77.3%+$10.72
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.4%+$7.88
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+438.5%+$47.95
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.3%+$4.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+52.3%+$70.35
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$102.54
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$73.76
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+47.3%+$5.03
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.47
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.68
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$44.8
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.61
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$5.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+70.2%+$91.61
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$141.96
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$56.01
O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.81
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.4%+$15.29
O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.22
All 6 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$55.92
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+212.9%+$23.02
LoL: Vietnam vs Cloud9 (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.5%+$7.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.5%+$13.1
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$26.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vermont Catamounts vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.51
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$34.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+50.3%+$6.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.