TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Eagles, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45d9…a89abacked Eagles42c16,779$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,047.293522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chargers68c15,332$10,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,913.2286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chargers59c11,590$6,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,739.71,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Eagles39c10,292$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,054.916645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Chargers63c8,842$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.447951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Eagles42c6,000$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Chargers79c6,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2405250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles41c6,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eagles33c5,640$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eagles40c4,959$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.621254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Eagles37c4,760$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.3124053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eagles32c4,656$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.9231543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers61c4,074$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.8647738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Chargers59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Chargers58c3,111$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.7714154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Chargers58c2,800$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17622450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Chargers60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ac…c62dbacked Eagles28c2,131$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x694c…2546backed Chargers62c1,626$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chargers57c1,454$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.0639754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Eagles37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eagles39c1,254$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48939447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Eagles43c1,161$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Chargers58c1,129$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.9553253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Chargers60c1,070$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.8424652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8469…0a90backed Eagles42c1,011$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Eagles32c1,002$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Eagles41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles38c763$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2747348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Eagles28c710.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.227044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Chargers58c635$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4614641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eagles20c565$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.648847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Eagles40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Chargers59c491$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4177052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eagles38c385$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3818745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Chargers62c354.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8428047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32da…b112backed Eagles46c347.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603974.4%29 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Chargers54c346.74$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.517454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Chargers61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…c0e0backed Eagles42c318.02$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Eagles39c279.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Eagles40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Eagles42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14e…f856backed Chargers61c244.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.036959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Chargers59c239.03$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7653348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd65…fcfabacked Eagles43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005832.8%19 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Chargers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8259453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Chargers58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Eagles41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9912031.7%38 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Eagles23c188$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5631450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eagles37c179.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Chargers59c174$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.342766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Eagles38c173$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6532043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Chargers60c160.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.332055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Eagles27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1332347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Eagles34c133$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2227644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Chargers61c123.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…dd89backed Eagles42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+197.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eagles35c116.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9615952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Chargers60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4418245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Chargers59c106$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.462133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Chargers60c100.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.427741.6%32 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Eagles38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387750.6%39 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Eagles38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819654.1%106 W · 90 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Eagles41c90.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Chargers57c86.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.87147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.35per pick42cpaid-87.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Eagles41c86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Chargers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Eagles33c81.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0110357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaef…56aebacked Chargers63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Chargers62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eagles31c65.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0735648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Eagles42c62.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3313339.8%53 W · 80 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2381…ea41backed Chargers77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Eagles23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Eagles40c59.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8710940.4%44 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Eagles41c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Chargers61c51.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9320851%106 W · 102 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Eagles42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2180%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Chargers55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.512147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Eagles45c48.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c8…092abacked Eagles41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Chargers59c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Eagles43c46.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d08…7b68backed Chargers59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.376448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Chargers59c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.992564%16 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Eagles41c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+64.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Eagles41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Eagles41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90cb…3f65backed Eagles42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Chargers59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Eagles41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Eagles40c31.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7236341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Eagles41c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5107…4106backed Chargers60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6127backed Eagles41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Eagles41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2513455.2%74 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc394…8444backed Eagles41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.259369.9%65 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Eagles44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1230442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d3…91aabacked Chargers62c22.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.