TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

1H Spread: Eagles (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chargersof Eagles, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,664 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d9e…496dbacked Eagles47c207$97 inLost-$97.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2742…ad13backed Chargers53c202$107 inWon+$94.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f69…5092backed Eagles47c198$93 inLost-$93.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf63…cf95backed Eagles47c192$90 inLost-$90.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…63f4backed Chargers53c192$102 inWon+$90.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf27b…7f4dbacked Eagles47c190$89 inLost-$89.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb2…e46ebacked Eagles47c186$87 inLost-$87.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cf…89b4backed Chargers53c184$98 inWon+$86.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5b…dd6cbacked Eagles47c181$85 inLost-$85.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedfa…58d6backed Eagles47c181$85 inLost-$85.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…6251backed Eagles47c179$84 inLost-$84.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249c…dd6bbacked Eagles47c179$84 inLost-$84.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1cd…1a80backed Eagles46c177$81 inLost-$81.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a60…e1debacked Chargers53c175$93 inWon+$82.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef3c…7762backed Eagles47c175$82 inLost-$82.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5a…15d9backed Chargers53c175$93 inWon+$82.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc9…80b1backed Chargers53c174$92 inWon+$81.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da9…f597backed Chargers53c173$92 inWon+$81.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…8d5ebacked Chargers53c173$92 inWon+$81.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…1dc2backed Chargers53c170$90 inWon+$79.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef55…7603backed Eagles46c170$78 inLost-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2487…3234backed Chargers53c168$89 inWon+$78.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a63…bc0cbacked Chargers54c166$90 inWon+$76.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb9…2010backed Chargers54c155$84 inWon+$71.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf0…7c7ebacked Eagles50c150$75 inLost-$752138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Chargers50c89.42$45 inWon+$44.718349.4%41 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Chargers53c79$42 inWon+$37.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chargers50c56.7$28 inWon+$28.2939754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Chargers51c41$21 inWon+$20.091861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Eagles47c41$19 inLost-$19.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Chargers53c34$18 inWon+$15.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Chargers52c29.46$15 inWon+$14.0724243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Eagles48c29$14 inLost-$13.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Chargers51c24$12 inWon+$11.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.