NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43321cc08ab45a5359748672d0b2935af0e769b0f82ad2691a00422f10e71bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Eagles, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed Chargers | 48c | 15,404$7,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Eagles | 52c | 897$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.44 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Chargers | 48c | 697$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Chargers | 48c | 613.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eagles | 52c | 405.01$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.64 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Chargers | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…e745backed Chargers | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…be8abacked Chargers | 46c | 198$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Chargers | 48c | 196.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…de1dbacked Chargers | 47c | 196$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cf…3928backed Chargers | 46c | 192$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…f708backed Eagles | 54c | 191$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…08d1backed Chargers | 46c | 187$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Chargers | 47c | 187$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…d3b6backed Chargers | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…db64backed Eagles | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…ea6bbacked Chargers | 46c | 183$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a4…485abacked Eagles | 54c | 182$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…8558backed Eagles | 54c | 181$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…ee08backed Eagles | 53c | 181$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…0831backed Chargers | 46c | 179$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cf…89b4backed Eagles | 54c | 177$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…0f7ebacked Chargers | 46c | 174$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40c…09afbacked Eagles | 54c | 171$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…1dc2backed Eagles | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…ad13backed Eagles | 54c | 169$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…cddfbacked Chargers | 47c | 166$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…f597backed Chargers | 46c | 166$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Chargers | 47c | 161$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…7f4dbacked Eagles | 54c | 161$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…5b2bbacked Eagles | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Eagles | 30c | 112.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Eagles | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Chargers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Eagles | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Eagles | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Eagles | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Chargers | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Eagles | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Eagles | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Chargers | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…e52ebacked Eagles | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Eagles | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Eagles | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Eagles | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Chargers | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Eagles | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Eagles | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Eagles | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked Chargers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Chargers | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Chargers | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Eagles | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Eagles | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Chargers | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Eagles | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Eagles | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Eagles | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Eagles | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-0.5)Chargers won
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Chargers Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Eagles Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Jalen Hurts: 2+ TouchdownsNo won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.