TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdowns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed No78c183,300$143,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,659.8616955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes22c127,672$27,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,562.196459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No75c60,376$45,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,075.5919645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Yes22c20,820$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.5318156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes33c10,988$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,62614349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Yes39c10,403$4,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,076.521770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Yes21c9,995$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No70c5,678$3,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.413843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Yes39c5,076$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.165250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Yes23c4,589$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.27255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes33c4,497$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4841729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf526…55c8backed Yes19c3,794$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.180%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…0b02backed Yes20c3,500$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6923221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes20c3,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907456.8%42 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Yes34c2,875$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.726240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked No79c2,455$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Yes20c2,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes20c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76012138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No62c1,822$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.368454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes19c1,600$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31018336.1%66 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.996540%26 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes19c1,286$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3111237.5%42 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2800…4dd0backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes22c1,182$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Yes20c1,163$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.631118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f1…e373backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes19c985.26$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.212842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8926…5aacbacked Yes38c913.59$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.092864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008259.8%49 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked No62c510$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.83860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca5…4bb8backed Yes21c503.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258622.1%19 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9526648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…0e18backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4dd…737abacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005950.8%30 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…f4c7backed Yes40c378.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.472454.2%13 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014347.6%68 W · 75 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Yes27c349.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.512945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Yes33c303.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8913845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…0e03backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yes19c296.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.382437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes20c250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496030%18 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4431backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed No63c229.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5910042%42 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No62c225.51$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9518044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9172…2e79backed Yes18c213.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4740%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b5…ee5abacked Yes36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Yes40c178.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.087048.6%34 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Yes40c172.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696267.7%42 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Yes23c156.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1347…bc3dbacked Yes33c142.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.972245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Yes23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa423…187abacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x457c…9cf2backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked No64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c52…ff83backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7011…0710backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4bc…c5fabacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb317…1893backed Yes28c90.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked No79c89.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes33c88.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.118535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Yes36c67.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412148.8%59 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f23…b19ebacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256448.4%31 W · 33 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c6…1223backed Yes20c56.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…59e7backed Yes20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…b867backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d3e…46c5backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0e…b74abacked Yes47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed No75c38.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes40c36.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.428527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f5…30b3backed Yes31c35.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6127backed Yes35c34.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked No66c30.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.162065%13 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ea…a0f8backed Yes38c27.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.