TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1347…bc3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.1%+$348.62
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$97.22
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$164
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.43
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$50.36
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$51.1
Spread: Eagles (-5.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82.48
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34.98
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.99
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.61
Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdownsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.97
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.57
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.78
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$163.31
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$761.15
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$33.69
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$74.87
1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+43.3%+$25.78
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.26
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$71.96
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$30.07
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team USA Stripes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+123.7%+$55.67
Team USA Stars vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team USA Stripes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team USA Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$86.94
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$202.1
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+50.4%+$37.85
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$146.69
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$105.61
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+43.2%+$25.49
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.89
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.77
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+116%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$283.13
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+400%+$48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.3%+$61.26
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+733.3%+$146.67
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+83%+$274.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+106.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$40.53
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$150.52
Sharks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$94.5
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65.96
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50.96
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.77
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$72.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$182.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$351.72
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB Blazersbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29.82
East Carolina vs. UABbacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$27.93
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.14
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+91.9%+$48.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Misa Esports (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33.2%+$26.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$350.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.