La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019a48398b4f86405b30e69f82fa5eeec39ddaf0da19e1a51df56a74b729924b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 79c | 11,560$9,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.6 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 11,292$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.48 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 23c | 7,836$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 27c | 5,839$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 27c | 5,280$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.6 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 5,243$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.57 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 78c | 4,113$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.81 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 4,090$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.75 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 78c | 3,507$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.58 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…3bd9backed Yes | 26c | 3,398$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 3,303$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 2,598$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.58 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 79c | 2,509$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 2,468$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.28 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…05f7backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 79c | 2,228$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.93 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 74c | 2,182$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.19 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 20c | 2,064$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 1,764$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.3 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 1,734$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.94 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,732$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 29c | 1,731$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes | 29c | 1,710$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed No | 79c | 1,684$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,637$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 78c | 1,614$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.07 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,390$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…c450backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 1,283$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.55 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 27c | 1,157$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.74 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 21c | 1,143$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 79c | 1,115$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.15 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,051$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 31c | 987.1$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 16c | 930$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 21c | 895.84$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 28c | 893.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 871.29$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…4209backed Yes | 34c | 862.24$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 833.92$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5f6ebacked Yes | 31c | 805.64$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 803.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 80c | 747.5$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Yes | 29c | 741.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…af9bbacked Yes | 30c | 694.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 23c | 674.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 79c | 671.88$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Yes | 22c | 639.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…7defbacked No | 78c | 619.65$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 30c | 613.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f38dbacked Yes | 32c | 597.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 80c | 569$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…4deabacked No | 80c | 558.56$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…4b95backed Yes | 21c | 556.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Yes | 29c | 541.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 524.18$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 21c | 430$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 13c | 407.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 79c | 407$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 406.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 21c | 395.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 22c | 369.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 362$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 64c | 352.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 29c | 350.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 74c | 346.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 341.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 27c | 341.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Yes | 34c | 327.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 308.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 79c | 299.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…00b7backed Yes | 30c | 284.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 24c | 283$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 29c | 275.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 74c | 272.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Yes | 18c | 262.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 262$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…aee3backed Yes | 34c | 245.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 31c | 227.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 224$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 80c | 221.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 13c | 216.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…c933backed Yes | 23c | 215.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Yes | 22c | 213.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked No | 80c | 200.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.