La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27c3f7113e4b70d69273abe70091440ad7d3467284c64165491b8e04490666f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,377,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,396,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,377,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 35c | 2,057,999$726,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331,238.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 64c | 507,439$327,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327,266.13 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked No | 65c | 500,000$325,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed No | 0c | 330,379$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 64c | 300,000$193,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,999.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 64c | 199,931$128,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,622.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 65c | 117,000$76,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,050 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 0c | 102,840$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 59,893$38,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,239.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 57,109$40,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,539.01 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 65c | 43,000$27,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,950 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 35,305$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.73 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 31,141$20,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,241.94 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 30,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 18c | 30,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,599.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 0c | 29,613$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 64c | 28,000$17,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,920 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 65c | 27,777$18,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,055.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 72c | 25,222$18,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,159.93 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 28c | 25,000$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,002.69 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 0c | 19,719$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked No | 70c | 18,931$13,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,162.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 67c | 17,777$11,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,910.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 17,586$11,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,554.7 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…9bdbbacked No | 0c | 15,530$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 14,800$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.28 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed No | 0c | 12,380$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 13c | 10,451$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.47 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…e5d7backed Yes | 34c | 9,586$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 9,207$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.41 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…d84dbacked No | 0c | 8,630$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…ec5bbacked No | 68c | 7,890$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked No | 44c | 7,792$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,595$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.49 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed No | 80c | 6,994$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 6,463$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.42 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 74c | 6,223$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.44 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 67c | 6,159$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.84 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 80c | 5,871$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked No | 65c | 5,400$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 18c | 5,380$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.4 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 2c | 5,090$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 66c | 4,917$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 0c | 4,553$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…7e3dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,901$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,872$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.39 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 2,790$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.93 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 2,775$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.2 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 58c | 2,500$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.31 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 32c | 2,344$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.75 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 66c | 2,269$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed No | 33c | 2,106$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.97 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…6f5bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,055$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 35c | 1,874$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.94 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 57c | 1,789$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 33c | 1,703$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.29 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 68c | 1,629$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked No | 78c | 1,600$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Yes | 38c | 1,582$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 1c | 1,547$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 64c | 1,514$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.48 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 59c | 1,464$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.78 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 66c | 1,288$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,223$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.66 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 69c | 1,193$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.55 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 40c | 1,140$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 59c | 1,133$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…547ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 26c | 1,110$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 37c | 1,082$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 43c | 1,026$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.17 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 17c | 1,020$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked No | 75c | 1,001$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 937.68$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.94 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…e6f4backed Yes | 31c | 902.35$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 54c | 885$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.98 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 19c | 884.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.56 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 35c | 862.25$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 70c | 837.7$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…37e8backed Yes | 17c | 826.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…af01backed Yes | 18c | 809.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +450.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 80c | 800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…11a8backed Yes | 29c | 757.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 43c | 749.99$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 745.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.35 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.