NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb34f0c0a2d77165627f96a921f207d1be5ef1913e183774de089b5a002881fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Sharks | 39c | 91,102$35,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,918.19 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Penguins | 63c | 65,872$41,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,246.9 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 61c | 49,180$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.91 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Penguins | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,799.96 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sharks | 37c | 19,479$7,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,271.8 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 38c | 12,582$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Penguins | 62c | 12,153$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Penguins | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Sharks | 0c | 11,547$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,514.38 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 1c | 6,948$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,872.87 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 61c | 6,039$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.59 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 4c | 5,963$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.07 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 37c | 5,605$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.14 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 37c | 5,262$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Sharks | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Penguins | 60c | 4,955$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sharks | 38c | 4,827$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.14 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 38c | 4,298$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.79 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.02 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 41c | 3,930$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.98 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 38c | 2,866$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.87 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 62c | 2,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.77 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked Sharks | 38c | 2,405$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 38c | 2,339$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.03 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sharks | 3c | 2,259$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.5 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Penguins | 3c | 2,200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Penguins | 58c | 2,007$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.14 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 39c | 1,973$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.68 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 61c | 1,889$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 37c | 1,723$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 37c | 1,700$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.95 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Sharks | 38c | 1,697$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.37 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 69c | 1,484$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks | 38c | 1,447$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.13 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 46c | 1,285$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Penguins | 58c | 1,224$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Sharks | 39c | 1,133$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.33 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Sharks | 14c | 1,107$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Sharks | 37c | 1,080$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.24 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penguins | 58c | 1,079$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.63 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sharks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sharks | 40c | 999.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.08 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Penguins | 63c | 901.38$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Sharks | 40c | 887.5$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Penguins | 58c | 860$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…153dbacked Penguins | 62c | 838.71$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…98a3backed Sharks | 39c | 820.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Sharks | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 62c | 789.33$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.92 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Penguins | 63c | 709.17$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.78 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins | 61c | 689$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.29 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sharks | 28c | 657.33$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.43 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sharks | 38c | 654.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.55 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 39c | 647.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.01 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Sharks | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sharks | 39c | 615.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sharks | 38c | 574.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.41 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Sharks | 36c | 481.15$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Sharks | 38c | 460.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 36c | 421.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.17 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Sharks | 37c | 405$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.15 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sharks | 39c | 400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…f676backed Sharks | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sharks | 52c | 386.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Sharks | 38c | 378$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.53 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…3352backed Penguins | 54c | 364.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Sharks | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Sharks | 46c | 324.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…bed3backed Penguins | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Sharks | 37c | 321.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Penguins | 61c | 316.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Sharks | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Penguins | 62c | 302.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Sharks | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Sharks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Sharks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Sharks | 40c | 252.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Sharks | 40c | 250.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…c6b7backed Sharks | 27c | 250.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sharks | 38c | 233.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks | 38c | 223.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Sharks | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 57c | 205.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Sharks | 47c | 205.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…e44dbacked Penguins | 61c | 203.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 36c | 202.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Sharks | 35c | 202.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Penguinsthis page
- Sharks vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.