TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67e3…e5b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
443
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Golf, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12643.7%55 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$196.3
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+103%+$51.52
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+171%+$119.7
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$38.25
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$51.74
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT7237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.4
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$232.51
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.87
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$115.91
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$222.16
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT7140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.96
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.4
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.79
Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$123.71
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.57
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$166.57
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$116.03
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$64.17
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$183.91
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$210.17
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.09
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.93
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$61.85
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.12
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.14
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$69.79
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+119%+$161.59
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST7034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98.8
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$184
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+271.8%+$149.52
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.5%+$104.47
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+669.2%+$133.85
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+118.4%+$118.38
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$159.6
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.91
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$74.4
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$276
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70.2
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$116.67
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+203%+$101.52
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$86.9
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST5127.5%14 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$154.11
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$204.99
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+157.9%+$392.39
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160.53
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$154.6
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$149.5
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$318.16
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$138.87
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$158.97
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$167.97
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+240.9%+$578.1
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Northwestern vs. Illinoisbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31.35
Oregon State vs. Washington Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$83
LSU vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+98.6%+$102.6
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.27
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.08
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+194.1%+$52.8
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90.87
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+257.1%+$514.29
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.19
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$24.29
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$22.24
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.