TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Raptors, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,010,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,041,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,010,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 842 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Wizards27c470,075$126,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343,881.683033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Raptors42c175,000$73,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,749.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards26c146,603$38,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,944.8351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards26c136,120$35,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,728.5287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Raptors74c90,000$66,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,6009263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors73c64,995$47,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,446.5559653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Raptors74c63,533$47,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,014.741,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Raptors74c56,325$41,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,533.882,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Wizards28c55,426$15,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,117.436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Raptors73c41,525$30,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,309.862,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Raptors73c40,000$29,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,20019351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Raptors73c37,300$27,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,22959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors74c33,880$25,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,071.21,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors54c33,044$17,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,761.11,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3080…5f29backed Raptors73c30,000$21,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,9002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors73c30,000$22,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,0104,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Raptors73c30,000$21,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,9003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards26c29,225$7,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,703.4747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Raptors69c28,972$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Wizards69c25,377$17,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,821.4913248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Raptors73c25,000$18,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,25019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards27c25,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,249.974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Raptors74c24,051$17,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,797.476358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Wizards27c24,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,52014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Raptors73c21,990$15,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9454261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Raptors73c21,739$15,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,869.1437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wizards25c20,974$5,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,730.571,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Wizards46c20,147$9,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,970.5344654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Raptors74c20,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,80092753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors71c18,330$13,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,024.915,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors73c18,260$13,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,331.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Raptors72c16,386$11,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,798.1317250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors74c16,000$11,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,794.2244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Wizards58c15,232$8,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,397.3570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors50c14,513$7,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,270.592,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors73c14,500$10,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5852,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards27c13,104$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,576.8235235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raptors66c12,600$8,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,328.7583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards27c10,054$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3401,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Raptors74c10,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,40012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Raptors74c9,800$7,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,251.9219958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Raptors39c9,227$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60424151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors65c9,209$5,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.173,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Raptors73c8,842$6,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,423.6930947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Wizards68c8,787$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.749640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors74c8,379$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,231.232,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a1…7ae9backed Raptors49c8,245$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors73c7,637$5,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,551.789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Raptors73c7,625$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.2255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors52c7,532$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors54c7,187$3,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,876.5873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors47c6,783$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.1785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Wizards26c6,571$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,862.7138649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Raptors44c6,184$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.8426637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Wizards27c6,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,38020355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raptors16c5,860$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.911,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors1c5,839$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Wizards57c5,002$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.0612143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Wizards26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7008827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Raptors74c5,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9816641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Raptors72c4,989$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.8613950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors59c4,969$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed Raptors73c4,755$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Raptors66c4,386$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.161,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Raptors75c4,309$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards28c4,149$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.251,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Wizards28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88012843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Wizards24c3,945$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.217141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wizards38c3,932$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.0676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors73c3,930$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.522,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards55c3,911$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Wizards47c3,900$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.922356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Raptors74c3,803$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.173756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Wizards28c3,573$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.5211049.1%54 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Raptors53c3,526$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.5427144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards55c3,474$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.7648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Raptors73c3,441$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Raptors76c3,265$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.365369.8%37 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards61c3,196$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.511,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Raptors49c3,166$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.4411839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Raptors75c3,017$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.5847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Raptors73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Raptors1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Raptors43c2,734$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.3240041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed Wizards22c2,712$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.965433.3%18 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe44d…1034backed Raptors74c2,708$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd45b…58f5backed Raptors74c2,703$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors74c2,703$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards24c2,698$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Raptors56c2,674$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.698343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b69…42cfbacked Raptors74c2,507$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards27c2,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82579549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards28c2,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557d…c485backed Raptors3c2,251$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors35c2,183$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.751,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors53c2,109$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.363,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors65c2,063$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.6381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Raptors74c2,030$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.272250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors3c2,027$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.28820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.