TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under50c60,038$30,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,018.4617031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b2…1c91backed Over50c9,998$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa817…6313backed Under52c8,200$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2642343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c41…02e2backed Over48c8,200$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2642161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382d…b9e9backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over50c2,862$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.0944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over46c2,580$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.0910057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Over50c2,142$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0713148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under53c2,041$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.049451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under56c1,787$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under54c1,391$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c1,368$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.241,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c1,221$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,066$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c910.1$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.351,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over49c724.5$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.3238148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over47c543.15$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8728147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c540.23$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.752,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Over50c394$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1971275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa88…b48bbacked Under51c394$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.941250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596b…6c22backed Over50c358$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1791250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9386…3a31backed Under51c358$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.581030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c325.41$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.472,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over47c266$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over47c240.43$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4318241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under51c218$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.28759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over46c210.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0521056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Over46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under54c166$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.648752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over46c134.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.281,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over45c108.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3837352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under54c106$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.247353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under54c98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.923348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under52c97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.447162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.969360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.38644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under51c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.435058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x069c…3d49backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.462349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.173445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under46c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.486446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Over47c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.993441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Over49c76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.944161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c75.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4747948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over44c72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over44c72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under54c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.267557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Over48c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.054057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c60.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c57.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.231,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under54c55.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x715c…78c0backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over47c53.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c51.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over50c50.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4410234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.518549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6995…c072backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe95c…bc09backed Over50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under53c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.446053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Over49c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.972458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over49c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.463860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under48c45.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over49c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.442860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over46c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.683246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c39.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.874429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Over51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.072958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1623753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1622048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1632649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1627150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.368450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Over46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Over46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c30.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.587950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.663339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Over48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.565048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.