NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd0deabf20892050d80d0673d20a67992bdf089f73f3f47f81427109fb6b333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Raptors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 47c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…388cbacked Wizards | 51c | 7,900$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…103dbacked Raptors | 49c | 7,900$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 53c | 4,191$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.38 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Raptors | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Wizards | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.9 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 53c | 2,986$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.58 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 49c | 2,898$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.98 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 48c | 2,813$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.65 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Raptors | 53c | 2,780$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.38 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,720$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wizards | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…d53cbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,341$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 47c | 2,277$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.34 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 47c | 2,211$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.6 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wizards | 52c | 2,101$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 53c | 2,032$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,597$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.5 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Wizards | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.08 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Raptors | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Raptors | 53c | 1,099$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,058$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.49 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 50c | 687.05$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 49c | 675.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Wizards | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Wizards | 49c | 595.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.52 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Raptors | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 50c | 556$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 48c | 491.31$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wizards | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Wizards | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Raptors | 49c | 392$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…654fbacked Wizards | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…a7d1backed Raptors | 51c | 380$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…e77fbacked Raptors | 51c | 379$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf14backed Wizards | 49c | 379$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors | 52c | 308.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Raptors | 49c | 308.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Wizards | 53c | 305.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d5bfbacked Wizards | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Wizards | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Wizards | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…a13fbacked Raptors | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 48c | 240.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Raptors | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Wizards | 53c | 207.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Raptors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors | 55c | 184.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Raptors | 52c | 167.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Wizards | 49c | 121$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Raptors | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Wizards | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Wizards | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Wizards | 51c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 53c | 108.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 50c | 104.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Wizards | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Raptors | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Raptors | 52c | 96.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Wizards | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Wizards | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 51c | 87.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Raptors | 55c | 86.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wizards | 45c | 86.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Raptors | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 46c | 79.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Wizards | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Wizards | 52c | 72.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Wizards | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Wizards | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Raptors | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Wizards | 46c | 64.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Raptors | 48c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Wizards | 52c | 60.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Raptors | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Raptors | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Wizards | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Wizards | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Raptors | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Raptors | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Raptors | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Raptors | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Raptors | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Wizards | 53c | 48.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Raptors | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Wizards | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Wizards | 47c | 43.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Raptors | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)this page
- Raptors vs. WizardsWizards won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.