TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x727b…0426

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$427.65
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Magic (-13.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$212.83
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$118.95
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$404.32
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$895.38
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$27.31
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
First Blood in Game 3?backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
First Blood in Game 2?backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+27%+$35.04
First Blood in Game 3?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$15.24
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
First Blood in Game 1?backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
First Blood in Game 2?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$109.92
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$24.41
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.78
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+70.2%+$50.51
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.33
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$122.83
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$5.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$42.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$75.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.