NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x466324ee32cff1cbad156b3a5d50873f1f3afc3152516bd417cbbd70f41056b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Magic, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,441 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa729…9326backed Magic | 48c | 30,473$14,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,626.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…ca21backed Pacers | 52c | 29,126$15,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,980.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…25edbacked Pacers | 52c | 16,974$8,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,147.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…bf31backed Pacers | 52c | 12,104$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…cdcbbacked Pacers | 52c | 11,542$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Pacers | 51c | 9,934$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.24 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…e3ddbacked Pacers | 52c | 9,855$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…a3d5backed Pacers | 52c | 9,806$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…3858backed Pacers | 52c | 9,581$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 22c | 9,579$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…af53backed Magic | 48c | 9,402$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…39e2backed Pacers | 52c | 8,777$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 59c | 8,675$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.58 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…6507backed Pacers | 52c | 8,549$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…5258backed Pacers | 52c | 8,519$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…3e6bbacked Pacers | 52c | 8,410$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…dcf4backed Pacers | 52c | 8,345$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Pacers | 54c | 8,318$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…6b7ebacked Magic | 48c | 8,140$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…7e1ebacked Pacers | 52c | 7,977$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…d351backed Pacers | 52c | 7,727$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…99b0backed Pacers | 52c | 7,670$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…fc3cbacked Magic | 48c | 7,551$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…841bbacked Pacers | 52c | 7,510$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 49c | 7,382$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…fdc1backed Pacers | 52c | 6,834$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…78dbbacked Pacers | 52c | 6,829$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b8…423dbacked Pacers | 52c | 6,483$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.84 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…ef68backed Magic | 48c | 5,884$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 34c | 5,570$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…62ffbacked Magic | 48c | 5,456$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…40c9backed Magic | 48c | 5,264$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2a75backed Magic | 48c | 5,244$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…c287backed Pacers | 52c | 5,116$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…58eebacked Magic | 48c | 5,044$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…24f6backed Magic | 48c | 4,922$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…8024backed Magic | 48c | 4,831$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…52afbacked Magic | 48c | 4,685$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…23e2backed Magic | 48c | 4,655$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…98a6backed Magic | 48c | 4,567$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 42c | 4,552$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…7cf7backed Magic | 48c | 4,486$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…200abacked Magic | 48c | 4,425$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…5bdbbacked Magic | 48c | 4,358$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…64f1backed Magic | 48c | 4,332$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070c…508bbacked Magic | 48c | 4,299$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…8762backed Magic | 48c | 4,149$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…715fbacked Magic | 48c | 4,141$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…1af1backed Pacers | 52c | 4,078$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc379…b8cfbacked Magic | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…9f8abacked Magic | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf362…a438backed Pacers | 52c | 3,946$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…d723backed Magic | 48c | 3,876$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…5703backed Magic | 48c | 3,736$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 43c | 3,589$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…54a1backed Magic | 48c | 3,446$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…8148backed Magic | 48c | 3,388$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…f90fbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,383$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…9505backed Magic | 48c | 3,360$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…2b5cbacked Magic | 48c | 3,289$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…8e1ebacked Magic | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…9094backed Magic | 48c | 3,197$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…6e31backed Magic | 48c | 3,187$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…1d57backed Magic | 48c | 3,184$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…eb62backed Magic | 48c | 3,120$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…9e11backed Magic | 48c | 3,086$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 45c | 3,076$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…ff72backed Magic | 48c | 2,968$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…09f8backed Magic | 48c | 2,911$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…f6cdbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…0ea2backed Magic | 48c | 2,860$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e2…d106backed Magic | 48c | 2,782$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…dc4abacked Magic | 48c | 2,734$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…4ac5backed Magic | 48c | 2,680$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…04f4backed Magic | 48c | 2,556$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…449dbacked Magic | 48c | 2,495$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…291abacked Magic | 48c | 2,405$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…957dbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,369$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…1bbabacked Magic | 48c | 2,343$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…dce9backed Magic | 48c | 2,252$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…4408backed Pacers | 52c | 2,179$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1801…1952backed Pacers | 52c | 2,166$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…9322backed Magic | 48c | 2,158$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…0b99backed Pacers | 52c | 2,158$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pacers | 56c | 2,111$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.02 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2435…b621backed Pacers | 52c | 2,102$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…6ac1backed Magic | 48c | 2,097$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…7878backed Magic | 48c | 2,069$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…a51dbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,069$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…2defbacked Magic | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…653dbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…c404backed Magic | 48c | 2,004$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…3870backed Magic | 48c | 1,971$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd98…282ebacked Magic | 48c | 1,859$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…7b0bbacked Magic | 48c | 1,806$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…0d88backed Magic | 48c | 1,784$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 48c | 1,783$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.41 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…de12backed Magic | 48c | 1,736$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…99d1backed Pacers | 52c | 1,710$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Magic | 31c | 1,709$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.93 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pacers vs. MagicPacers won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.