TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,763 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x782c…2445backed Yes37c1,036$384 inLost-$3848342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No63c895$561 inWon+$334.1390863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes36c313.56$113 inLost-$113.346342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No64c200$128 inWon+$721,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked No65c150$98 inWon+$52.55470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed No70c142.86$100 inWon+$42.8614753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Yes34c132.35$45 inLost-$452962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No64c124$80 inWon+$44.0839265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Yes35c122.45$42 inLost-$42.4838736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes46c122$56 inLost-$56.1236954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No66c109.99$73 inWon+$37.427074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Yes34c108.71$37 inLost-$36.963450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b7…4f3ebacked Yes35c102.11$36 inLost-$361233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c101.95$67 inWon+$35.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No64c100$64 inWon+$3695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No64c78.12$50 inWon+$28.1297049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No65c61.11$40 inWon+$21.3615362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd933…6652backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked No66c50$33 inWon+$1716551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked No65c45$29 inWon+$15.7513448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No63c42.23$26 inWon+$15.7746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0278…5f1fbacked Yes33c40$13 inLost-$13.27240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No65c38.3$25 inWon+$13.3290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x376d…bc1bbacked No66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.39869.4%68 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…2e49backed Yes34c29.4$10 inLost-$101533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No65c22.29$14 inWon+$7.892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed No66c16.32$11 inWon+$5.5521357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.