NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3babaa87b331b4814d710f4b7273ae639faa7ef13e78f4a06ee978d8586316ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Magic, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,248 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 55c | 241,005$132,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,243.35 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Magic | 45c | 125,566$56,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,504.7 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pacers | 51c | 65,924$33,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,486.03 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Magic | 45c | 53,181$23,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,931.5 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Magic | 43c | 46,512$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.96 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 52c | 33,871$17,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,208.61 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Pacers | 57c | 31,217$17,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,423.16 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Magic | 45c | 29,513$13,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,280.85 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Magic | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 48c | 17,139$8,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,218.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Magic | 47c | 12,733$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.01 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 46c | 12,116$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Magic | 45c | 11,778$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.1 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Pacers | 53c | 10,781$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.32 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Pacers | 51c | 10,459$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.02 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers | 51c | 10,190$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.02 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 49c | 7,755$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 47c | 6,331$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 57c | 6,053$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.74 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Magic | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…f668backed Magic | 49c | 5,239$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Magic | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Magic | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 27c | 4,890$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…f310backed Magic | 50c | 4,422$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Magic | 45c | 4,103$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.44 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Magic | 49c | 3,906$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pacers | 57c | 3,734$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.68 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…9edbbacked Pacers | 48c | 3,362$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers | 57c | 3,070$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.1 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…4143backed Magic | 51c | 2,992$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9344…3507backed Pacers | 49c | 2,992$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…caa8backed Pacers | 49c | 2,975$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 47c | 2,965$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…9591backed Magic | 51c | 2,960$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…aac0backed Pacers | 49c | 2,933$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 49c | 2,933$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…76d1backed Magic | 51c | 2,892$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…4117backed Magic | 51c | 2,681$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…6213backed Magic | 51c | 2,652$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…340cbacked Pacers | 49c | 2,652$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a96…908cbacked Magic | 51c | 2,648$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…83e1backed Pacers | 49c | 2,640$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…3a53backed Pacers | 49c | 2,633$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…a424backed Magic | 52c | 2,532$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e44…8aa3backed Magic | 52c | 2,414$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Magic | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pacers | 58c | 2,256$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.4 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…8336backed Magic | 52c | 2,233$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Magic | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 47c | 2,016$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…b4c2backed Pacers | 48c | 1,966$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,962$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.87 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Magic | 49c | 1,951$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…2f5ebacked Pacers | 48c | 1,887$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd623…06a6backed Magic | 52c | 1,818$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…9c91backed Pacers | 48c | 1,774$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Pacers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 54c | 1,531$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.24 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 49c | 1,500$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Magic | 44c | 1,498$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.12 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Magic | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Magic | 49c | 1,439$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic | 50c | 1,366$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.91 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers | 57c | 1,325$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.75 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Magic | 47c | 1,266$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.85 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Magic | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Magic | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Magic | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pacers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pacers | 53c | 949.99$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Magic | 46c | 935$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Magic | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 48c | 850.83$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.67 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Magic | 49c | 831$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.19 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Magic | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Magic | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 49c | 579.12$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Magic | 47c | 540$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Magic | 46c | 528.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Magic | 48c | 519.79$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.9 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Magic | 50c | 512.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pacers | 66c | 502.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Pacers | 53c | 477.49$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Pacers | 51c | 476.47$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Magic | 49c | 456.67$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Magic | 47c | 429.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Magic | 43c | 425$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Magic | 43c | 424$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Magic | 36c | 412.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Magic | 49c | 412$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Pacers | 55c | 308.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 47c | 304.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Magic | 29c | 299.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pacers vs. MagicPacers won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.