TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,739 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd529…f0d4backed No65c1,088$712 inLost-$712.241,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Yes33c917.97$300 inWon+$617.976031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes40c507.29$204 inWon+$303.0836954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Yes38c333$127 inWon+$206.463040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc984…195ebacked Yes33c303.26$100 inWon+$203.264850%24 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No67c256.2$172 inLost-$172.4939265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked No60c150$90 inLost-$905470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Yes31c149.1$46 inWon+$103.0238736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No68c125$85 inLost-$8590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Yes32c125$40 inWon+$853450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c118$82 inLost-$82.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa959…6a33backed Yes51c117.65$60 inWon+$57.651931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No69c100$69 inLost-$6995260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No49c97.65$48 inLost-$47.851,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b7…4f3ebacked Yes34c88.81$30 inWon+$58.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No68c81.06$55 inLost-$55.121,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No69c60.2$42 inLost-$41.821,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No66c48.27$32 inLost-$31.9415362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed No56c40$22 inLost-$22.44645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No69c40$28 inLost-$27.630256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed No56c40$22 inLost-$22.45451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f39…2e49backed Yes30c32.94$10 inWon+$22.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked No68c27.5$19 inLost-$18.716551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No71c21$15 inLost-$14.9132866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No70c15$11 inLost-$10.588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No68c14.71$10 inLost-$1097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.