NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41262cbe41a6239debfd24c9340a594ef484f783c3bec93f3938e68d9c0a2a85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,265,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,265,444 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Magic | 69c | 74,978$51,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,388.68 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 59c | 73,479$43,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,186.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Pacers | 14c | 72,982$10,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,764.33 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…a321backed Pacers | 18c | 69,710$12,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,162.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers | 36c | 63,908$22,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,198.64 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 16c | 49,518$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,421.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 24c | 42,563$10,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,102.91 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Pacers | 50c | 40,211$20,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,105.54 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Pacers | 17c | 40,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,199.96 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Pacers | 18c | 30,961$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,304.19 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 47c | 28,781$13,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,468.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pacers | 15c | 26,123$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,204.29 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Magic | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers | 15c | 20,466$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,396.5 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Magic | 75c | 19,427$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pacers | 15c | 17,999$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,389.56 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Magic | 35c | 17,420$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.6 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Pacers | 22c | 15,171$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,829.12 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Magic | 50c | 13,861$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930.46 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Magic | 73c | 13,589$9,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,901 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Pacers | 24c | 12,465$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,445.21 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Pacers | 14c | 11,469$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900.84 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 58c | 10,897$6,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.93 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 35c | 10,839$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.92 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 68c | 10,311$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Magic | 0c | 10,057$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,300 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Pacers | 18c | 9,996$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,196.84 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Pacers | 13c | 9,500$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,265 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 15c | 9,347$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 53c | 9,016$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers | 13c | 9,000$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,864.95 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 13c | 8,273$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Magic | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9909…b90cbacked Pacers | 71c | 7,673$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.13 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 47c | 7,473$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 13c | 7,452$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers | 13c | 7,200$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.82 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 16c | 7,169$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.91 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Pacers | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers | 13c | 6,300$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,508.73 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Pacers | 78c | 6,285$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.37 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…9322backed Magic | 67c | 6,240$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Magic | 65c | 6,095$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 22c | 6,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…5778backed Pacers | 20c | 5,768$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Magic | 63c | 5,714$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.82 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Magic | 0c | 5,585$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pacers | 12c | 5,462$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.12 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 42c | 5,419$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Magic | 65c | 5,394$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Magic | 56c | 5,335$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Pacers | 12c | 5,175$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pacers | 12c | 4,998$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.66 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 66c | 4,740$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Magic | 6c | 4,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Magic | 2c | 4,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Magic | 65c | 4,197$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.72 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 41c | 4,153$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.48 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Pacers | 28c | 4,105$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers | 15c | 4,093$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.25 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…a71cbacked Magic | 17c | 4,070$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Pacers | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.15 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…0cd0backed Magic | 80c | 3,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pacers | 14c | 3,450$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 12c | 3,314$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.32 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Magic | 48c | 3,300$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.44 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 67c | 3,295$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.27 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Magic | 35c | 3,189$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.37 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers | 14c | 3,117$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.86 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Pacers | 71c | 3,108$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.82 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed Magic | 1c | 3,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Pacers | 60c | 3,000$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.95 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 16c | 3,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…8ba4backed Magic | 72c | 2,761$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Pacers | 22c | 2,754$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.99 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Pacers | 25c | 2,680$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.49 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers | 45c | 2,617$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.1 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pacers | 54c | 2,586$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.58 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 18c | 2,559$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.11 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Pacers | 14c | 2,551$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.23 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadcf…e210backed Magic | 10c | 2,546$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Pacers | 51c | 2,460$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Magic | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Magic | 33c | 2,310$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.77 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…e294backed Pacers | 13c | 2,300$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers | 13c | 2,290$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.3 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Magic | 17c | 2,287$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…1745backed Pacers | 54c | 2,162$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.59 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 1c | 2,083$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Magic | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Pacers | 25c | 1,979$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.16 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Magic | 9c | 1,839$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Pacers | 56c | 1,801$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.35 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Magic | 40c | 1,766$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.04 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Magicthis page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.