TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6832…8ba4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.81
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi Osakabacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$107.53
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Ealabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.33
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$57.48
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$236.59
Sao Paulo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.98
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$76.48
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.99
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.98
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.99
Alicante: Samuele Pieri vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$173.77
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$66.5
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$17.71
Lugano: August Holmgren vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68.01
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$106.66
Lugano: Marko Topo vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$63.38
Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$68.01
ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$20.15
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$35.18
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.56
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$44.43
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.85
All 5 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$155.1
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$149.55
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28%+$16.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$54.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.