TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,981,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,981,576 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz19c479,938$91,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,188.248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz0c278,589$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.591,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz21c170,956$35,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,114.2187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d13…c3dcbacked Jazz0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f45…a321backed Jazz20c100,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Raptors80c50,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz15c40,442$6,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,028.721,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz0c40,000$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Jazz20c30,263$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Jazz20c30,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00032540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34bf…50a5backed Jazz0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz21c23,575$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,872.4622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors78c23,096$18,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.1352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz3c22,984$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0a…ca20backed Jazz18c21,298$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,868.31931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz18c20,202$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.5241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz15c17,973$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.9437448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors79c15,411$12,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.773,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Raptors80c15,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors80c14,165$11,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54e…0950backed Jazz14c13,900$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Jazz15c13,207$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.0532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors79c13,000$10,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7301,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Raptors78c12,821$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.518662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Jazz1c11,145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jazz20c11,113$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.638840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked Jazz0c10,504$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.431330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Raptors80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Raptors78c9,700$7,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.9931455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Jazz11c9,510$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Jazz1c9,407$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.363179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c02…4dc9backed Jazz0c8,493$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c8,400$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors80c8,250$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz0c8,175$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.458783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Jazz14c7,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz21c7,439$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.532,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz19c6,152$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.681,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz13c6,050$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.031,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Jazz5c5,731$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3919728.4%56 W · 141 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors80c4,616$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.131,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Jazz19c4,510$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85720945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jazz6c4,495$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c4,217$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.918820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Jazz3c4,100$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.454838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Jazz15c3,596$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.4458740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Jazz17c3,572$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.3942335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz14c3,367$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz9c3,123$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.551,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed Jazz14c3,100$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4348759.8%52 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1dd5…3b78backed Jazz10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008326.5%22 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked Jazz15c2,600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz20c2,597$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.4643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Jazz12c2,508$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9724744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Jazz8c2,299$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5820741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8150…e7f1backed Jazz13c2,287$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.15632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Jazz19c2,275$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz10c2,200$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Jazz2c2,129$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7233139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Jazz15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Jazz14c2,000$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2872462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz11c1,865$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.022,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Jazz10c1,800$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ad…2d59backed Jazz15c1,600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.731625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Jazz15c1,445$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.313435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Jazz18c1,410$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz25c1,284$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.9761939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Raptors80c1,264$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7537944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors79c1,262$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz15c1,207$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Jazz15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…73e5backed Jazz2c1,163$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410015%15 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed Jazz15c1,138$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.973520%7 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Jazz1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jazz14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Jazz19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005831%18 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Raptors78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2252760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Jazz14c1,026$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14745838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Jazz15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Jazz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Jazz15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Jazz9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022423.7%53 W · 171 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Jazz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df5…b0ffbacked Jazz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea37…9a30backed Jazz20c972.85$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz25c956$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.746940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b98…7061backed Jazz15c950$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4684…3944backed Jazz16c942.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.731717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Jazz25c937$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8718440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz12c924.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.441,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Jazz3c900$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.823139.8%92 W · 139 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jazz16c887.42$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1173131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Jazz13c857.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.