TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,859 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under52c20,080$10,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,440.838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c18,671$8,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,703.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c3,901$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c3,188$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c2,541$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under50c2,023$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.0111156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb838…d713backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over48c1,031$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.257248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c872.85$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.692,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c755.96$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c622.01$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.451,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over51c588.31$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3113750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c579.9$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9218748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c563.2$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under49c500.09$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9420741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under50c454.85$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.272,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c346$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.811,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over52c333.44$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over52c310$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over49c303.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1414152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c271$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c270.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over52c270.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.819547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under51c266.76$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7221049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c265.35$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over50c263.8$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.810943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c236.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over50c234$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11713352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over54c222.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.724849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over54c210.39$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.788347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1929345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under51c158.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.921,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under47c150.84$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3823651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c150.15$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c149$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over53c139$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Over49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.856653%35 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c129.89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c115.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe900…14cdbacked Over51c103.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.922277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xecfb…3e22backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over50c99.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9919851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over54c93.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.154233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c93.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.532,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.213950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over50c89.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under45c75.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9551438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c70.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Under49c69.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.017859%46 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c61.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.511,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.828652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Over52c55.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.773151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…22d2backed Under49c51.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee96…fff6backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.516651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over51c48.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.315953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4534556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Over49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.935147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under54c41.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9210…b709backed Over51c41.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.546746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c41.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over50c41.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5723048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.615650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.226147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f0…03a5backed Under46c38.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Over52c37.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.919451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.047354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.398348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ee…d3d0backed Under49c35.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.562433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c35.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c34.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Under49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.664240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under57c31.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1357250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over52c31.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1310748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed Over51c29.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.657153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.540048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720b…0dd8backed Under50c26.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under48c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.587142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c25.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…9aa2backed Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.255046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under51c23.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.877642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0436153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under49c22.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2624841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fdc…5defbacked Over54c22.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…61a2backed Over59c22.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed Under47c21.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32425%6 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x75a6…c7a1backed Over55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over51c21.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.445542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.