NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9887e4ce2afca72ff96c7b601f0e95b76d39ed8188500733cd6185e704790edb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,132 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 56c | 60,526$34,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,149.08 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 43c | 36,000$15,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,520 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Raptors | 45c | 16,382$7,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.9 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 49c | 8,136$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Raptors | 44c | 4,081$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.36 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 55c | 3,647$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 56c | 3,130$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 43c | 2,519$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.6 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 42c | 1,990$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.49 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Raptors | 43c | 1,745$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.65 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 44c | 1,617$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 48c | 1,179$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 45c | 1,090$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Jazz | 58c | 911.41$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.62 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 51c | 901$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.51 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 57c | 896.33$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 42c | 806.1$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.54 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Jazz | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Jazz | 49c | 642$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Jazz | 58c | 565.15$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz | 56c | 512.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 56c | 493.86$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Jazz | 58c | 419.22$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Jazz | 58c | 367.77$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Raptors | 43c | 351.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.53 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Jazz | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 41c | 295.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Raptors | 43c | 252$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Raptors | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Raptors | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 43c | 207.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Jazz | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jazz | 51c | 195.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 42c | 171.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Raptors | 43c | 163.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz | 14c | 148.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb241…a635backed Jazz | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Raptors | 43c | 124.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Raptors | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Raptors | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…0a81backed Jazz | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…e665backed Jazz | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Jazz | 58c | 86.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Raptors | 43c | 80.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Raptors | 48c | 78.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Raptors | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 43c | 64.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Raptors | 43c | 57.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Raptors | 44c | 56.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Raptors | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Raptors | 43c | 55.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Raptors | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Raptors | 45c | 52.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Raptors | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Raptors | 43c | 49.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 54c | 45.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…0398backed Raptors | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Raptors | 53c | 44.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Raptors | 43c | 41.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jazz | 47c | 38.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked Raptors | 43c | 37.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 55c | 36.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Raptors | 43c | 36.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Raptors | 43c | 35.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Raptors | 43c | 33.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Raptors | 45c | 31.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Raptors | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Raptors | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jazz | 35c | 29.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Raptors | 44c | 25.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Raptors | 43c | 24.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Raptors | 49c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Jazz | 56c | 23.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz | 55c | 22.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Jazz | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Jazz | 58c | 20.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Cody Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. JazzRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.