NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425e8fe6924ff02500ec6cad33a5de8a0d649138e0185588aa33fb0c194192b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,245 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 2,525$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.58 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 1,984$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 54c | 631.74$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c6…36aabacked Over | 49c | 611.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 379.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 50c | 329.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 322.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 303.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 257.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 251.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 197.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 163.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 64c | 156.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 147.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 54c | 140.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 133.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 133.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 126.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 110.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 92.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 89.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 85.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 47c | 84.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 55c | 60.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 45c | 49.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…5430backed Under | 40c | 47.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 44c | 42.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 40.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Over | 54c | 39.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a06dbacked Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…2f69backed Over | 45c | 23.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Over | 55c | 22.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 21.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 52c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Cody Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. JazzRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.