TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13b0…2f69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.46
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.3
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.88
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.09
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.3
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.02
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Cricket — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.97
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.26
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.27
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.89
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.53
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$24.46
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+152.1%+$29.81
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: England vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$41.43
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.