TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c20,758$15,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,748.1569851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c17,512$13,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.675142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c13,621$9,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.333,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Yes27c5,556$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c4,100$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.57111.3%8 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c4,013$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.2633945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes37c3,844$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.1528241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No64c3,565$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.486051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c3,550$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.251,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes10c3,454$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7913139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9911644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43eb…3d85backed Yes27c2,955$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c2,513$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.091,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No19c2,434$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.0749143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes23c2,289$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.11346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes28c2,150$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9160%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes14c2,130$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0623842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes15c2,100$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes8c2,045$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6326433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No73c1,904$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.0810154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes27c1,856$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No38c1,706$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.545455.6%30 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1872…9ba9backed Yes24c1,682$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes30c1,652$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.957639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes25c1,433$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.352227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes31c1,414$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.322332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No73c1,371$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.173141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c1,318$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7235856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes27c1,296$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806256.5%35 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd751…58bdbacked Yes29c937.93$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes27c907.41$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes28c896.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes27c892.55$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.636126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No67c856$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.472759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes27c847.23$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7510728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.533737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No73c740.74$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006450%32 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c712$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No74c680$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes33c639.39$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No73c599.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16216045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes13c539.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.988939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes27c518.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked Yes27c502.07$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.566053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes32c500.63$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes27c459.7$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.921850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2af6…b030backed Yes28c422$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.162138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No71c421.68$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2933340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c403.93$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4978248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No70c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12223745.6%108 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11231145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No72c399.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e3…42f1backed Yes28c392.21$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes28c375$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054231%13 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes27c332.61$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012538.4%48 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…90ddbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No73c322.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2919446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No20c320.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.722250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes33c303.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Yes28c251.91$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No74c240.11$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.479951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…4175backed Yes26c236.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No61c230.49$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2776234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes22c229.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545836.2%21 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes29c199.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9915829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ab…7193backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No73c182.24$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6218746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes27c181.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.191442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes33c180.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Yes18c179.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65250%26 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…6b82backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes32c163.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes29c160$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No73c154.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3921051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017930.2%54 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes27c139.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.