Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d32f5e5e0c8b997e067a0a95f45b6d43a5bbaa30590a831543fd2e92782d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 29,123$19,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,538.2 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 45c | 25,694$11,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,562.2 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…7c4cbacked No | 54c | 23,595$12,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,853.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…921dbacked Yes | 46c | 22,010$10,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,124.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 65c | 20,970$13,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,340.55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 55c | 11,813$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.95 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 10,427$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.79 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 45c | 10,300$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 7,700$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.73 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 6,860$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.14 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 45c | 5,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 5,163$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.24 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 55c | 5,145$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 55c | 3,876$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 55c | 3,836$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.34 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 3,366$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.36 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed No | 67c | 3,214$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 65c | 3,193$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.45 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 54c | 3,089$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.71 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 66c | 3,085$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.2 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 3,081$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.28 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 46c | 3,009$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.1 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,996$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked No | 53c | 2,781$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 46c | 2,326$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.06 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 2,294$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 45c | 2,285$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.25 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 35c | 2,164$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.95 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 1,992$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.63 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 45c | 1,733$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 45c | 1,590$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes | 18c | 1,362$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,305$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…5eb3backed Yes | 37c | 1,300$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 4c | 755.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 56c | 658.43$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 66c | 636.41$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked No | 67c | 577$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed No | 56c | 572.07$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 545.05$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.37 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 44c | 540$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 46c | 476$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 45c | 445$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 56c | 387.72$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…c71abacked No | 57c | 355.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…5ea8backed No | 57c | 352.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…6d55backed No | 57c | 351.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…7223backed No | 57c | 351.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c92fbacked Yes | 44c | 350.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…b2f8backed Yes | 44c | 350.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Yes | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…6a6bbacked Yes | 44c | 348.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…74a3backed Yes | 44c | 346.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…a016backed Yes | 44c | 345.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…816cbacked No | 57c | 338.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…26b2backed Yes | 33c | 324.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 54c | 306.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 288.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 267.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 249.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed No | 54c | 238$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 56c | 231.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 55c | 231.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Yes | 41c | 228.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Yes | 45c | 218.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d7e5backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…f4cdbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 53c | 215.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 46c | 204.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.