TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5528…c098

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+67.6%+$135.29
Will Athletic Club vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+244.8%+$200.76
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Fulham FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Will Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$254.55
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$202.08
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will SC Freiburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$200.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.