TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3a1…3529backed No73c19,377$14,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,231.782286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c7,550$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.0738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c7,240$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.262,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c5,280$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.796,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c4,323$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9217042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c3,971$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.172,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes27c3,552$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.151,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes64c2,404$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.25759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes17c2,300$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes19c2,220$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7623926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No74c1,710$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.552138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No69c1,618$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.1861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9752138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes2c1,382$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No38c1,321$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.4218123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c1,210$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No75c1,143$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7221049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes28c971.43$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf42…173ebacked Yes61c934.43$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No74c768.66$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.852272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63db…56fcbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes29c695.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes26c650$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16910626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes16c645.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8216232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes19c530$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.73531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes20c479.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4910338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes58c475.39$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.697082.9%58 W · 12 L+14.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c421.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c3…301fbacked Yes18c417.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.37166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes27c409.32$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.522138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10823632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No73c391.02$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5811645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No76c385.69$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Yes28c380$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c371.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes27c364.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes65c334.35$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6404…edbdbacked Yes36c320.57$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.322035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c302.92$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Yes27c300.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802544%11 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No72c285.71$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes38c285$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10916548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ee…22dbbacked Yes29c272.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2713565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes33c255.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid+33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed Yes28c246.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Yes28c237$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes62c234$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.081163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes22c228.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes24c215$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes22c210$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.89625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0a…720dbacked Yes20c202.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210535.2%37 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes59c191.36$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes27c189.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.221833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe551…f901backed Yes17c173.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c170.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.032,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes59c168.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No75c167.88$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.977844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No73c164.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6216150.9%82 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c146.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7542324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes26c143.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4110036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No73c142.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cd…8903backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334055%22 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes28c132.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378342.2%35 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed No41c124.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.754257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed No66c115.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.920143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8636…d3c7backed No79c110.63$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf81…e1b7backed No73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes50c105.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1149…3628backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+99.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2627227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658839.8%35 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207f…793bbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes26c97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2240841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.