TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf029…a292

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9942.4%42 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+548%+$82.2
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$126.67
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$12.68
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.13
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+109%+$178.19
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$182.49
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.25
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$59.63
Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$105.61
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Waltonbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$72.98
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$697.72
Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Tampere: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Estoril Open: Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+64%+$319.84
Generali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halysbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Estoril Open: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereirabacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112%+$111.97
Hamburg European Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Bloomfield Hills: Blaise Bicknell vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Palermo: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Jennifer Ruggeri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$364.05
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$57.34
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$195.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.03
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$229.17
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$121.11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$72.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$125.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$210.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.