TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Ham United FCof Manchester United FC, West Ham United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed West Ham United FC66c14,999$9,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,149.6513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Manchester United FC33c12,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.991921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Manchester United FC34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked West Ham United FC66c3,908$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.632,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed West Ham United FC67c3,615$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.851,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Manchester United FC33c3,293$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed West Ham United FC65c2,466$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.022,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Manchester United FC33c2,110$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.298343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Manchester United FC15c1,677$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24519826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Manchester United FC33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked West Ham United FC67c1,324$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.925646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Manchester United FC29c1,249$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6414128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked West Ham United FC66c1,086$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2121253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed West Ham United FC66c999.98$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.993941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked West Ham United FC79c963.74$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.554,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e8…a41cbacked Manchester United FC26c912.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Manchester United FC35c722.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked West Ham United FC67c644.85$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9319154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Manchester United FC35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed West Ham United FC67c400.62$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.031838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d0…a2a3backed West Ham United FC66c345.36$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa2…6818backed West Ham United FC66c344.25$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…104dbacked West Ham United FC66c342.87$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5221…7e84backed Manchester United FC35c342.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cb…a787backed Manchester United FC35c341.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1839…c9c5backed Manchester United FC35c334.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Manchester United FC33c302.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Manchester United FC34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Manchester United FC34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…a75bbacked Manchester United FC34c271.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bb…4a38backed Manchester United FC35c257.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed West Ham United FC67c245.36$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.973542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Manchester United FC35c239.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8616136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Manchester United FC27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549940.4%40 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed West Ham United FC66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6823353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked West Ham United FC67c174.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3911846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f7d…dd82backed Manchester United FC32c156.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edd…21f8backed Manchester United FC34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Manchester United FC33c144.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6523435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471e…b032backed Manchester United FC35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed West Ham United FC67c139.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.141,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Manchester United FC18c138.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Manchester United FC34c138$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.924637%17 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Manchester United FC35c130.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.831421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Manchester United FC34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Manchester United FC34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked West Ham United FC70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.294557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Manchester United FC34c102.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.774647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Manchester United FC34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3427227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Manchester United FC35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Manchester United FC35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Manchester United FC34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Manchester United FC36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Manchester United FC35c97.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Manchester United FC21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62e1…a6b2backed Manchester United FC33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b69…8afdbacked West Ham United FC69c90.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…6fc6backed Manchester United FC34c88.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Manchester United FC33c86.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Manchester United FC34c82.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed West Ham United FC68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54d…f8fdbacked West Ham United FC72c74.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe36e…ad3abacked Manchester United FC35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked West Ham United FC67c65.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6323250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120e…edc8backed West Ham United FC67c63.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Manchester United FC35c62.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed West Ham United FC67c60.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Manchester United FC34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206045%27 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…1df6backed Manchester United FC35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fd…c36abacked Manchester United FC35c56.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…3492backed Manchester United FC34c55.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6baf…eba7backed Manchester United FC35c54.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed West Ham United FC67c53.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6416357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbae5…654cbacked West Ham United FC67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0aa…13b3backed West Ham United FC65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed West Ham United FC66c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.261,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Manchester United FC34c47.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Manchester United FC35c45.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.776251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Manchester United FC34c44.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.319133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Manchester United FC34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked Manchester United FC35c43.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked West Ham United FC65c42.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1518362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x063f…104cbacked Manchester United FC35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Manchester United FC35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Manchester United FC33c39.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0651516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81ff…2561backed Manchester United FC35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f89…20bbbacked West Ham United FC67c31.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked West Ham United FC68c31.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.919627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed West Ham United FC66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed West Ham United FC79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked West Ham United FC66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed West Ham United FC67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010255.9%57 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba9…d2e0backed West Ham United FC67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed West Ham United FC66c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.862657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked West Ham United FC66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed West Ham United FC67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.395250%26 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed West Ham United FC68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0614463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed West Ham United FC66c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.482356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91c…f704backed West Ham United FC66c21.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7f…986dbacked West Ham United FC67c20.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.