TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c41,502$27,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,610.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over31c25,193$7,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,827.0223926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over42c16,348$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.1620545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2003164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over43c10,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.986248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over41c4,208$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under59c3,996$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.3675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Under59c3,069$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.294641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2903452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.958939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over43c2,999$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.7413837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over43c2,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.953231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8606650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8605042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over40c1,999$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e99…e794backed Under59c1,600$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over31c1,249$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.414128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under58c963$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.771,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over42c941.58$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Over45c889.87$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.291414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2946540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under73c481.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.293644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c428$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c406.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under59c352.54$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5424844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1474129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under58c344$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over45c333.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under57c329.3$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c318.48$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.761,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Under59c312$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.921540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over12c300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.88134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.864264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c279.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b834backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under59c213.81$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.662867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Over10c203.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.39825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under75c200.94$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ac…c69bbacked Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over9c191.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.218050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfc9…f57abacked Over42c190.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over11c189.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.689627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over18c186.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.711,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+44.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under58c161.28$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.283259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c122.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Under68c120.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over27c111.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over41c108.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c106.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over41c104.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.69749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429157.1%52 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.069953.5%53 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under76c90.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.614557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under68c89.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7942658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaba1…9656backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over44c84.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.064955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under56c81.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0413054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Over43c81.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe852…3fe6backed Over42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc4…413dbacked Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under59c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb36f…b75cbacked Under60c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over42c61.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.718226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2d…669ebacked Over42c58.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d6…66b9backed Over42c57.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over41c53.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under70c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over42c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.843969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over40c50.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.519853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2113550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…3324backed Over42c49.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over42c49.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850f…7a1ebacked Over42c49.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa931…330abacked Over42c43.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf150…730ebacked Over42c42.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…5847backed Under58c42.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd16b…f7dbbacked Under59c42.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over43c40.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.216357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over42c39.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.593542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd835…cc7fbacked Over43c38.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c1…a943backed Over42c38.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.