TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb36f…b75c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 63 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.22
Idaho State Bengals vs. Montana Grizzlies (W)backed Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.96
Drexel Dragons vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$117.87
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs (W)backed San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$211.05
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Texas State Bobcats (W)backed Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.8%+$246.22
Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$365.17
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (W)backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.32
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+111.5%+$53.89
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (W)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$37.06
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.97
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$44.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$89.47
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Crashers (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+46.6%+$6.68
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$222.81
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$86.55
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs BOSS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BOSS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Tricked (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+143.5%+$25.01
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.09
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+106.8%+$15.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+287.5%+$702.28
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+124.8%+$23.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$29.4
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+60.9%+$21.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+254.8%+$84.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$46.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$58.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.