TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,804,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,930,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,804,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Clippers26c478,110$123,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354,672.847266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Rockets74c163,883$120,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,534.3343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets75c128,420$96,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,188.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Rockets0c49,685$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.311,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets75c48,840$36,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,399.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers26c43,544$11,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,222.4560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets75c40,000$29,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,799.959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets73c37,003$27,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,067.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets38c33,692$12,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,684.931,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Rockets74c31,811$23,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,469.5119653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets74c30,156$22,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,315.0737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Rockets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Clippers26c23,227$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,188.114358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d99…5591backed Rockets51c22,850$11,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,558.551070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Clippers25c21,156$5,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,867.3735547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Clippers26c20,860$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,359.945457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Rockets5c20,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rockets74c19,750$14,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,61510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets74c19,028$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,100.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets56c18,272$10,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,158.631,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers24c18,000$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,629.9351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Clippers48c17,409$8,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,126.0124151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Clippers26c15,023$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,116.9923245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Rockets74c15,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.9920551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Clippers57c14,456$8,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,278.647869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Rockets74c12,714$9,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,408.2928649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rockets75c12,704$9,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,570.2192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets55c12,645$6,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,994.991,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets73c12,346$9,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,055.174,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Clippers44c11,817$5,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,613.5883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Rockets77c11,685$8,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,997.1810252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Rockets75c11,475$8,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,606.2513357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Clippers14c11,412$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,856.6219033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets74c11,063$8,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,233.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets74c10,813$8,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,001.6230845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets74c10,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,40023257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.971,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…2663backed Clippers24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Clippers64c9,712$6,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.8850838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Clippers22c9,198$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,198.854445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9193…cc97backed Rockets55c8,850$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Clippers26c8,472$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,272.2215435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers24c8,020$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,060.11,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Clippers27c8,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,84032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers26c7,085$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.871,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets73c6,986$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.992,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Clippers64c6,879$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.274759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Rockets74c6,757$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb71…19cfbacked Rockets75c6,635$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Clippers24c6,501$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.7114055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Rockets75c6,500$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,87511244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Rockets77c6,494$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Clippers25c6,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Clippers14c6,000$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,168.5413625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Clippers30c5,898$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.0761939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Rockets75c5,780$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3352360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Clippers72c5,584$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.6934136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Clippers27c5,434$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,948.2638540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Rockets75c5,174$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86125554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…f674backed Rockets74c5,149$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,810.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets39c5,131$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.0189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Clippers25c4,999$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.2515247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Rockets75c4,999$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.254856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Rockets46c4,628$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.7348137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Clippers60c4,356$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.8227163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Clippers25c4,286$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.2236741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers24c4,196$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,175.6526640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Rockets75c4,150$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1018754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Rockets75c4,107$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08030157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockets74c4,000$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.4338649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb1…d881backed Rockets46c4,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Clippers50c3,749$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.2748956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5862…60b9backed Rockets76c3,500$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Rockets75c3,472$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.7766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Clippers32c3,439$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.8614344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5866…b045backed Rockets74c3,344$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.522272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c9…9ecfbacked Rockets76c3,300$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5081752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets75c3,278$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Clippers73c3,235$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.4416838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers60c3,204$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.723,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets75c3,126$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.243,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Rockets27c3,100$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.877150.7%36 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers18c3,046$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Rockets75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Clippers26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.7835251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rockets56c2,941$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e0…7132backed Rockets4c2,900$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+425.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Rockets74c2,797$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.7819645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets36c2,780$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.781,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4a…744abacked Rockets74c2,765$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Clippers60c2,734$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed Rockets3c2,700$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80190%0 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets40c2,692$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.381,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rockets45c2,651$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.5865542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Clippers57c2,650$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.3414243%61 W · 81 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers59c2,626$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Rockets39c2,581$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01535650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.