NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19f3bf03370655bffe0ef6ee05ec14ec20fa4dd1a8d11c666b347f4acb5b2b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Over | 51c | 41,856$21,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,458.46 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 20,089$9,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,446.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 15,595$7,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,797.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 5,136$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 4,036$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,003$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,237$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,800$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 929.06$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 545.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.48 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 48c | 410.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.67 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Over | 52c | 374.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 340$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 235.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Over | 52c | 186.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 151.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 50c | 150.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 105.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 102.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 48c | 100.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 50c | 97.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 52c | 95.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 52c | 77.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 52c | 61.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…7c48backed Over | 52c | 55.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…a0fdbacked Over | 52c | 52.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Over | 51c | 51.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…e50cbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Over | 52c | 46.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 58c | 36.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…f1d6backed Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…4ad4backed Over | 51c | 33.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 50c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. RocketsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.