TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Under52c75,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,999.9824650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over51c34,716$17,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,541.7619754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c22,997$11,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,695.882,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c21,135$10,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,144.831,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c13,212$6,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,406.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c44…752ebacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c7,247$3,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,874.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c57…b973backed Over48c6,215$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over47c5,124$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.0987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c4,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3851,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c4,042$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.472,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over42c3,698$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.3283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over48c3,105$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c3,075$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4761,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.211,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,974$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c2,838$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c2,813$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.012,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c2,373$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.512,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under47c2,340$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.4265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over54c2,151$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c2,096$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.882,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over51c1,126$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.3210949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over55c1,090$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under52c1,021$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.771,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over48c999.79$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.928147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over51c957$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c878.83$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Over52c804.69$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.4419747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c675.23$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.121,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c665.16$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over32c569.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e95…4183backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c390.7$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.368647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over8c368.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3118055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over52c341.6$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.328251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c305$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.551,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…7132backed Over14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+425.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c299.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under52c282.34$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2916139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under55c216.8$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over53c213.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11341742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over48c204.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9663447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd533…7b07backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+362.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7f…c092backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.35per pick11cpaid+378%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over46c179$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.343,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.111347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over43c158.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.624637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c135.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over51c124.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5433653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over47c102.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1653453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5236649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under42c98.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3553149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Over49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.121849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over49c87.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over53c86.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under53c81.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…db7bbacked Over49c80.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.481,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff25…960cbacked Over14c75.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551533.3%5 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+421.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c73.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over38c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c68.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e9…553bbacked Over51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c63.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.671,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under64c58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.637150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over51c57.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.129657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over31c53.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.273641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca3…ac80backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under48c48.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2820949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c40.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.433,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.241251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under45c38.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4438347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over43c37.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88d…254dbacked Under80c34.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over49c34.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1729351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under48c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under45c27.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0550841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.759141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe477…e618backed Under75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Under72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7353945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c22.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under49c22.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under48c22.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9262450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Under48c22.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.852035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.125846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…e50cbacked Over64c18.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.772774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Under75c15.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.85565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.