TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50e0…7132

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+400%+$240
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 Winnerbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Berlin International Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$137.7
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$105
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49.41
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+614.3%+$516
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+425.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+2,197.9%+$3,066
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+1,553.6%+$1,729.2
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Nets (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+1,207.7%+$1,570
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+400%+$240
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bad Luck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+614.3%+$227.47
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+875.6%+$718
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.41
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Paul vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101.5
Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Varvara Grachevabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+206.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+913.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$360.34
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+677.1%+$549.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.25
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$129.75
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.