TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$631,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$634,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Rockets49c396,401$193,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,268.3887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers51c262,095$134,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,805.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets48c54,479$26,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,110.0129650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets48c43,241$20,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,585.3844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers51c32,667$16,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,006.752,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Clippers52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers51c25,999$13,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,629.5245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Clippers52c22,500$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Clippers52c18,765$9,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,007.1919754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Clippers53c15,087$7,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,090.7920948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers52c8,166$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets51c6,845$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.332,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers52c6,540$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.863,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets48c5,527$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Clippers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets47c3,955$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rockets51c3,922$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.2215549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Clippers52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers48c3,442$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Clippers53c3,262$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5337536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets48c2,084$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Rockets49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Clippers53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Rockets48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets48c1,900$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers54c1,717$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.971,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets48c1,493$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Rockets49c1,362$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.471,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers52c1,359$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers54c1,190$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.783,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Clippers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Clippers52c988.12$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.313464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets48c770.91$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.042,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Clippers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Clippers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24016849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Clippers52c413.54$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.56238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Clippers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Rockets45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers52c380$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Clippers55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14448146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Clippers53c302.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b5…b26dbacked Clippers52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1432962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers52c275$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Clippers53c261.8$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Clippers52c252.34$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers62c226.28$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62e…5bc9backed Rockets49c206.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9651651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Clippers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6825056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Rockets54c162.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.772931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets49c125.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.083,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Rockets38c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.523845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe384…b233backed Rockets48c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Rockets49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Clippers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4433360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Rockets49c99.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.756165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Rockets52c99.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.492759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Clippers55c96.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7215253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Rockets49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Rockets44c79.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1730616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x50e0…7132backed Rockets14c79.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+425.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Clippers58c78.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9915453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Clippers52c76.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.237852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Clippers51c72.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3116052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Clippers54c71.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5114455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets48c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x991c…f05bbacked Clippers64c66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+1,329.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9b2…fdcdbacked Rockets49c63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd503…fdcabacked Rockets46c61.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a9…1a14backed Rockets55c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Clippers69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Rockets49c59.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1618957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Clippers53c56.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.977152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Clippers52c55.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8215758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Clippers54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5626757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Rockets31c55.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1615534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Clippers62c54.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9550648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets48c53.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.723,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…e50cbacked Clippers56c52.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.892774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4669…9040backed Rockets49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets48c50.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da1…26a7backed Rockets49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.318960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Rockets53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.510069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Clippers64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Clippers53c46.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1719147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd430…78b8backed Rockets49c46.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Rockets48c41.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7062…8be7backed Rockets49c40.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81f…16f1backed Rockets49c39.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Clippers52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4617153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Clippers29c37.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0330151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.