TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes53c10,000$5,300 inLost-$5,3001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No47c9,617$4,520 inWon+$5,097.1421649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes42c331.53$140 inLost-$140.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No47c212.77$100 inWon+$112.775558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No58c200$116 inWon+$8476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed No47c200$94 inWon+$1067648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbc…3b01backed No58c170.71$99 inWon+$71.75442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes56c89.96$50 inLost-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Yes53c47.8$25 inLost-$25.331822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No46c23.61$11 inWon+$12.841,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.