TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Rockets52c60,053$31,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,227.6343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers48c59,602$28,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,993.161,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.9860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets51c31,126$15,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,986.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets51c19,603$10,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,021.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers48c17,085$8,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,905.011,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets50c12,485$6,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Clippers51c12,462$6,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,130.7520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets52c11,629$6,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,030.812,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Clippers49c10,763$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,509.3811653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets48c8,646$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets51c7,996$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers48c6,427$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.653,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rockets52c6,360$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60e…088cbacked Clippers52c4,928$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.721070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Rockets53c4,500$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38012056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rockets48c4,134$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Clippers52c4,127$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.9242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers48c3,539$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.281,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets52c3,472$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.7337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.9226640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Clippers52c2,972$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.3215450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Rockets52c2,799$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.3595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Clippers52c2,726$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.4717550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Clippers51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Rockets52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets52c1,899$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets48c1,838$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Rockets52c1,631$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8486357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers52c1,469$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.013,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clippers52c1,264$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.842,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers49c1,196$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.1141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Clippers48c1,147$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.871838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5281,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets49c1,095$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.263,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Rockets48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.222143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Rockets53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Clippers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Clippers51c991.91$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.719135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers47c851$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.031,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Rockets51c794.12$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Clippers48c782.42$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8623845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Clippers53c647.56$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3923845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets49c607.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Clippers51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Rockets53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26522846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Clippers58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets51c451.8$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.543,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Rockets49c408.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Clippers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1623251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Clippers53c377.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers50c376$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Clippers50c366.84$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.423060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Rockets52c365.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Clippers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15042348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets47c300$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14091148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Clippers49c229.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Clippers49c224.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.712055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Clippers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3381845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Clippers5c203.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.241850%9 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+202.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Rockets51c194.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.998742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets48c194$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.121,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Clippers53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.378652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Rockets53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Clippers53c188.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.074148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Clippers53c187.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3915154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers54c185.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5661056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets46c180.49$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Clippers47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.413641.9%57 W · 79 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rockets52c175.92$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4823150.2%116 W · 115 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Rockets52c174.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.471,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Clippers48c170.83$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8363142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Rockets52c142.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Clippers52c135.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8514455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Clippers53c132.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2436453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Clippers51c129.03$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8715253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Rockets48c128.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7917960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Rockets47c127.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.282937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Rockets51c120.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7624330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Clippers54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.112657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Rockets54c106.36$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Rockets51c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.031,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Clippers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed Clippers48c104.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.161435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Clippers48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0838545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Clippers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0417545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Clippers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212743.3%55 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Clippers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Clippers52c95.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Clippers48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7526824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Clippers54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5925752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Rockets49c89.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.336653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Clippers52c84.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Rockets49c82.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.