NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb718f02a9de732a7064e1914468b0d3f6b54539dc55f25854dbf2cb4bea82e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 15,016$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,275.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 11,080$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,326.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Over | 48c | 8,098$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Over | 50c | 8,078$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.94 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 8,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 6,220$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 5,253$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 1,775$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 51c | 1,173$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.55 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 52c | 753.29$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.58 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 738.3$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 663.37$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 49c | 443.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.55 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 355.67$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 249.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Under | 52c | 133.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 49c | 129.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 51c | 122.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 120.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…9bb3backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Under | 55c | 97.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 79.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 57.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 48c | 44.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Under | 52c | 28.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 25.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Under | 52c | 24.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Under | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 51c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 54c | 19.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clippers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.