NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bca12de623bf30e29cb8bdd606e9986bad8de4fe47f6138552a71d39f530f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,390,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,408,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,390,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers | 44c | 455,555$200,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,110.77 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 56c | 300,594$168,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,332.64 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 52c | 176,951$91,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,760.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…6cf0backed Clippers | 48c | 169,777$80,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,884.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets | 56c | 157,908$88,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,132.57 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Rockets | 52c | 148,066$76,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,274.07 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rockets | 56c | 73,000$40,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,879.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers | 44c | 46,000$20,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,760 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Rockets | 53c | 45,101$23,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,773.19 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 53c | 42,802$22,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,873.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Rockets | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers | 45c | 36,192$16,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,019.81 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Clippers | 48c | 35,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,199.99 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Clippers | 48c | 34,107$16,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,661.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 52c | 27,429$14,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,307.91 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…aa39backed Clippers | 48c | 23,230$11,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,087.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 46c | 22,635$10,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3340…4805backed Rockets | 53c | 22,438$11,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,892.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…47bdbacked Rockets | 52c | 22,083$11,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,487.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…6851backed Clippers | 47c | 21,361$10,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 48c | 20,368$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,569.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Clippers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rockets | 50c | 16,842$8,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,421 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…8e06backed Clippers | 49c | 16,301$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,394.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Clippers | 49c | 15,094$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,697.84 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Clippers | 46c | 13,680$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,359.09 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Clippers | 48c | 13,467$6,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,002.84 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Clippers | 50c | 13,175$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,587.29 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 46c | 12,987$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Clippers | 48c | 12,517$5,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.46 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Rockets | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Clippers | 48c | 10,875$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Clippers | 51c | 10,800$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,275.33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers | 48c | 9,923$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.99 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Clippers | 48c | 9,624$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.49 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 55c | 9,194$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.89 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Clippers | 51c | 8,955$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.49 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Rockets | 53c | 8,682$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 53c | 8,278$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…39f0backed Clippers | 50c | 8,187$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Clippers | 48c | 7,546$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.9 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 52c | 7,119$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.78 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Clippers | 45c | 6,556$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.56 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rockets | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Clippers | 46c | 6,440$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.36 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Rockets | 48c | 6,376$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Clippers | 52c | 6,376$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Clippers | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Clippers | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Clippers | 48c | 4,904$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.82 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Clippers | 46c | 4,868$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.26 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Clippers | 49c | 4,687$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.07 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Clippers | 48c | 4,372$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.78 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Clippers | 48c | 4,110$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.2 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Clippers | 48c | 3,898$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Clippers | 48c | 3,773$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.79 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Clippers | 44c | 3,606$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.36 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Rockets | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Clippers | 43c | 3,305$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.65 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Rockets | 4c | 3,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 53c | 3,128$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Clippers | 48c | 3,046$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.83 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers | 52c | 3,000$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.28 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Clippers | 48c | 2,738$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.5 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Clippers | 49c | 2,653$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.28 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rockets | 46c | 2,639$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.54 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Clippers | 44c | 2,550$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rockets | 49c | 2,441$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.28 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 52c | 2,425$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.6 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Clippers | 35c | 2,291$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.29 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Clippers | 48c | 2,202$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.08 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Clippers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 47c | 1,880$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,704$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.45 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Clippers | 47c | 1,639$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.81 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Clippers | 45c | 1,457$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.31 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rockets | 56c | 1,454$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.75 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 49c | 1,316$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Rockets | 56c | 1,308$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 43c | 1,284$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets | 52c | 1,100$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.98 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Clippers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rockets | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,002$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Rockets | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Clippers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Rockets | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Clippers | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Clippers | 58c | 980$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.28 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 47c | 961.68$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…9b74backed Clippers | 45c | 960.42$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Clippers | 68c | 953.55$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Clippers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clippers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.